2023-24 FCS Playoffs
  • BlueGoldAg
    1.3k
    We won't know until tomorrow if the Aggies get selected but, I hate to say it, I think the Ags will be one of the first 4 bubble teams left out. Our only "good win" in the eyes of the selection committee is today's win over Sac but we have several "bad losses" and, after what we saw last year from the committee, they don't have much respect for the Aggies. I sincerely hope I'm wrong.

    The FCS Selection will air at 9:30 am PT on ESPNU.

    This is from Sam Becton of NCAA.com:

    Sacramento State

    Sacramento State doesn't have a ranked win at 7-4. However, the Hornets do have an FBS win to offset the hole in their resume. All of Sacramento State's losses are good losses — even its season-ending loss to UC Davis.

    Speaking of which, an FBS win and quality losses separate the Hornets from UC Davis even after Week 12's game. Those factors will ultimately get Sacramento State one of the last spots.

    UC Davis

    UC Davis put itself in the playoff conversation with a win over Sacramento State to close the season, but it won't be enough. Losses to Eastern Washington and Northern Arizona still look bad compared to other bubble teams.

    See the above portion on why Sacramento State made it in the playoffs for more on why UC Davis is out.

    Sam Herder at Hero Sports: He has the Aggies in as the #21 selection and Sac as the #24 selection.

    https://herosports.com/fcs-football-2023-playoff-predictions-final-bzbz/

    College Sports Madness:

    Last Four In: Chattanooga, Sacramento State, Western Carolina, Incarnate Word

    First Four Out: Mercer, UC Davis, Tennessee-Martin, Northern Iowa

    See the FCS Football Projected Bracket

    The bubble has shrunk considerably during the last Saturday of the regular season. Mercer and UC Davis are the only two teams that really feel like they deserve a spot in the playoffs. Each could easily find themselves on the right side of the bubble when the selection committee makes their picks. Chattanooga, again, is a team that could be left out. Sacramento State is on a big slide right now and UC Davis just beat the Hornets and have an equal 7-4 record. Incarnate Word finished 8-2, but the schedule has been easy.

    https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/article/22255
    BlueGoldAg Options
  • CA Forever
    707
    ↪BlueGoldAg
    I wouldn't be surprised to see the Aggies miss out. 1 more win and we're comfortably in.
    CA Forever Options
  • 72Aggie
    334
    I doubt "the committee" will care, but the Stanford victory isn't all it's cracked up to be. Stanford is 3-8 overall, 2-7 in the Pac-12 and lost to Cal today, 27-15.
    72Aggie Options
  • DavisAggie
    50
    I see no rationale for Sac St getting a high rank with the committee: H2H, common opponents, ranked wins, conference performance, etc all favor Davis
    DavisAggie Options
  • Russ Bowlus
    341
    Lot easier to stay in the field when you were ranked to begin the weekend.
    Russ Bowlus Options
  • Riveraggie
    260
    ↪DavisAggie

    Common Opponents
    Texas A&M Commerce.
    Northern Arizona
    Idaho State
    Montana
    Cal Poly

    Sac 4 wins and 1 loss Davis 3 wins and 2 losses.
    Riveraggie Options
  • DavisAggie
    50
    ↪Riveraggie
    And with 3 of those 5 opponents, Davis had better results. Then add H2H. Nicholls is their only .500+ win
    DavisAggie Options
  • Zander
    195
    2022 Committee: “No you’re putting way too much focus on SOS and quality losses, the most important thing is to get to 7 wins with at least a good win in there”

    2023 Ags: “OK”

    2023 Committee: “No not like that”
    Zander Options
  • DavisAggie
    50
    Davis at North Dakota, winner at Montana
    Sac at N.D. St, winner at Montana St
    DavisAggie Options
  • DavisAggie
    50
    ↪BlueGoldAg
    Becton didn't see the result of the Montana-Sac St game
    DavisAggie Options
  • DavisAggie
    50
    ↪BlueGoldAg
    You're forgetting the Weber win
    DavisAggie Options
  • DavisAggie
    50
    Craig Haley has Davis as the first team out:
    https://theanalyst.com/na/2023/11/fcs-bracketology-projecting-the-playoff-field/
    DavisAggie Options
  • DaddyAggie
    9
    Yea this is gonna be a tough one. We will have to see how the committee evaluates H2H vs strength of schedule and that Sac win over Stanford which kind of messes everything up.
    DaddyAggie Options
  • BlueGoldAg
    1.3k
    It's just too close for comfort. I think I'll just brace myself for disappointment but keep my fingers crossed.
    BlueGoldAg Options
  • cmt
    163
    ↪BlueGoldAg
    Yeah, losing to a 5-6 and a 4-7 team seems like it will be held against us a bit. Like if you just swapped those to losses to be against Montana St and Idaho, I'm guessing we'd be in easy. Like last year if we were 7-4, swapping out the SDSU loss for a win against a 4-7 team, we would have been in the playoffs. This year we have the extra win but the resume isn't quite as strong.
    cmt Options
  • movielover
    558
    ↪cmt
    And Stanford only has 3 wins - all against sub-.500 teams.
    movielover Options
  • CA Forever
    707
    Most to all predictions I have seen have us as either a last 4 in or first 4 out. It's going to be really close.
    CA Forever Options
  • BlueGoldAg
    1.3k
    ↪cmt
    The Montana AD is on the selection committee. You know he must of had a great amount of influence on screwing us last year but I wondering if he might be working for us this year since he's representing the Big Sky. Our loss to Montana was close and the stats for both team were even. If it wasn't for the TO's, we might have won that game. I hope he takes that into consideration too and tries his best to sway the committee in our favor.
    BlueGoldAg Options
  • BlueGoldAg
    1.3k
    This is what the FCS fans over on the AGS forum think the field will look like according to their final Top 25 poll which has the Ags at #25 and Sac at #16:

    Re: AGS Poll Results 2023 Wk12 - SELECTION SUNDAY!
    The fully seeded AGS playoff field would look like this:

    16 Sac State/17 Youngstown State @ 1 South Dakota State
    9 Furman/24 Duquesne @ 8 North Dakota State

    13 Southern Illinois/20 Richmond @ 4 Idaho
    12 North Dakota/21 Gardner-Webb @ 5 Villanova

    14 Mercer/19 Lafayette @ 3 South Dakota
    11 Delaware/22 Nicholls @ 6 Albany

    15 Chattanooga/18 North Carolina Central @ 2 Montana
    10 Austin Peay/ 23 Drake @ Montana State

    First 4 out: Incarnate Word, UT Martin, Western Carolina, UC Davis

    https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?345567-AGS-Poll-Results-2023-Wk12-SELECTION-SUNDAY!
    BlueGoldAg Options
  • MTBAggie
    153
    From NCAA.com

    UC Davis put itself in the playoff conversation with a win over Sacramento State to close the season, but it won't be enough. Losses to Eastern Washington and Northern Arizona still look bad compared to other bubble teams.
    MTBAggie Options
  • cmt
    163
    If we get left out this year I’ll be annoyed but much less so than last year. At least there’s a logical case for Sac over us. Last year it was “uh, Idaho and Montana won an extra game (ignoring H2H and SOS) and Montana will bring in more money”.
    cmt Options
  • CA Forever
    707
    ↪MTBAggie
    Well that's certainly not encouraging. I suppose we'll find out in a couple of minutes here.
    CA Forever Options
  • CA Forever
    707
    Montana 2nd seed
    Idaho 4th seed
    CA Forever Options
  • CA Forever
    707
    Montana State 6th seed
    CA Forever Options
  • movielover
    558
    Is there a livestream link?
    movielover Options
  • cmt
    163
    SDSt
    Montana
    South Dakota
    Idaho
    Albany
    Montana St
    Furman
    Villanova

    That’s the top 8. Weird not seeing NDSt in there.
    cmt Options
  • CA Forever
    707
    CA Forever Options
  • CA Forever
    707
    It's a podcast, but at least has a stream of the show for those without ESPNU
    CA Forever Options
  • cmt
    163
    They’re really dragging this thing out by showing highlights of games from yesterday.
    cmt Options
  • 72Aggie
    334
    Gotta sell ad spots
    72Aggie Options
  • movielover
    558
    I have the ESPN App and can't find the feed...
    movielover Options
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