That is said to be from Massey, so its based on a web of comparative scores. That is the same percentage that Sagarin gives in line with their 17 point differential prediction..

It was a must win road game against a team whose only FCS loss when starting QB Wood was to undefeated Montana. The game frustrated Davis fans because it potentially could have been a blowout, but it was still a solid win.

Davis already has locked in a position ahead of NAU in my opinion. Davis beat them head to head and even if NAU wins next 2 and Davis loses both, they end up with the same number if losses, the same number of FCS losses, and I think they would choose Davis based on head to head result,

Davis would win out over Sac if Davis wins one of their remaining games or if Idaho beats Sac. If Sac has five losses they are out of consideration. May be an uncomfortable feeling if they lose to Sac, but just a few years ago Davis was passed over after beating Sac.

Idaho coach postgame
idaho was 1-11 on third down, 2-6 on fourth down conversions.

On the much discussed player availability issue, the starters in this game were the starters we started the season with, minus the Connors twins and Winston Williams, and with David Main who wasn’t available at the start if the season. Nava started for the first time since being injured against Cal Poly, but left the game with an injury.

. He said that last week, talking about how they added a shift to disquise a play because they had used that play before in the game. If they are going to shift so much they need an official at practice.

Idaho had 2 losses to FBS teams, two with their starting QB out and a game against Montana, an undefeated team.
Davis doubled their score and would have dominated the game if they eliminated costly penalties, Davis play calling in the red zone was limited by having only one trusted running back.

Totton isn’t a recent injury, he last played at Cal Poly.
In addition to Totton and Colfield, Davis had other sought after freshmen DBs. I somewhere got the impression that a couple of them were injured pre-season. Two three star recruits, JJ Cravin, and Albert Richardson have not played in any games.

For the statistics to mean anything we have to know who is playing. We've had mention of two starting receivers and a running back being injured, and a dire DB situation. If thats true than statistics are for a different team. Up until last week Davis was clearly better defending running plays, one of the lowest yards per carry average in the conference. After last week, they are pretty middling against both run and pass.

I like Davis' chances if we have the players listed in this weeks 2 deep on D. Thats everyone that started the first three games of the season except the Connor twins.

If Pinnick is a redshirt freshman, Acia is a redshirt sophomore

The depth chart is updated from last week to this week.
Last week they had Josh Allen starting at one corner and backing up both safeties and nickel.

This week they have Ty Richardson at the corner opposite Colfield, backed up by Trey Carr.Josh Allen is number two at nickel and both safeties, not listed at corner.
Trey Carr has appeared in the last two games and is #2 at both corners, Richardson played against Idaho State,
Marquis Bell broke a bone in his forearm.

The good news is the depth chart published for this weeks game doesn't have any new deletions.

Idaho was terrible when Wood missed the Northern Colorado and Eastern Washington games. Surprisingly so because two backups had played effectively last year. Their win streak started when Wood returned, not coincidence.

I am also pessimistic about the guys being unavailable on offense.
I think Plough plays fewer players than we did under Hawkins, and the lack of experienced depth hits at a bad time.

What station is the radio broadcast ?

“Listen to the game” link on Davis gameday is the Kings game

Ty Richardson started after missing a bunch of games

The volume is definitely low if you listen with a mobile device. Needs a library like environment.

FBS losses are.discounted.. Idaho's win over NAU would have more weight, if it was between those two. And for Idaho to end the season with no more losses they would have beaten Davis giving them, a better win. Long shot for Idaho but they can make the playoffs of they win out, beating both Davis and Sac along with Idaho State. They would be 7-3 against FCS opponents

I was hoping Idaho would be out of playoff contention before we play them, I've been rooting against them ever since the Spuds in their Tubs podcast said they were in a higher tier than Davis last year.

Spread would be larger except for uncertainty about Pinnick.