2025 FCS Playoff Prognostication From Sac State Media Team:
THE CASE FOR SAC STATE
The field for the 24-team NCAA FCS Playoffs will be announced on Sunday, Nov. 23, on ESPNU at 9 a.m PT. With the addition of the Ivy League for the first time, there will be 11 automatic qualifiers and 13 at-large selections.
A victory by Sacramento State would give the team eight NCAA Div. I wins which has been the benchmark for earning an at-large selection. The team would also be guaranteed to finish in sole possession of third place in the Big Sky with a 6-2 conference record.
Since 2018, the Big Sky has placed at least four teams in the FCS Playoffs each year and has had five in three of the past four seasons. The league has had at least three teams in the playoffs every season since 2012 except 2017 (two).
The Hornets are currently 19th in the Massey Ratings which is the computer poll used by the committee. The team is also 15th in the Massey Power index and offensive rating and 26th in strength of schedule. That number will improve after this week as UC Davis is ninth overall in the Massey.
Sacramento State will also be one of the hottest team's in the FCS at the end of the season. With a win this weekend, the team will have won its last four games, six of its last seven and eight of its final 10 games of the year.
The Hornets have an offensive efficiency rating of +7.52 points per game against FCS opponents. The rating is calculated by figuring the difference in points scored by Sacramento State compared to the average in that team's other games. The team has a defensive rating of +2.6 points per game.