FCS Rankings @cmt@Riveraggie
My best guess at this point is that Montana State, UCD, Montana, and Idaho get in. The Aggies have good chances of beating both Montana and Sac. Even if the Ags only beat UNC they are in. Even if Montana drops games against UCD and Montana State (don’t see them losing to Poly, or Portland State at home) they will be 8-4 and they’re in (we all know how selection committees bias towards Montana). I don’t see Idaho dropping more than 1 more game and in that scenario they are 8-4 and in.
Believe it or not, especially with Montana State playing such dominant ball, there is still a chance that the big sky title is open. If the Ags win out (yes a tall task) they are big sky champs. If Montana wins out they are big sky champs with the head to head with Montana State. I think the former scenario comcernkmf the Aggies is more likely than the latter with Montana - although both slim chances. No way is Montana State losing to Montana in Bozeman especially with Montana’s weaker defense this year unless Mellot goes down to injury and even then I wouldn’t bet on it.