Hawaii was not supposed to be anywhere near this good after they lost Samuta Avea and Juan Munoz but they have managed to go undefeated in Big West play as of this writing (with UCR to play them on Thursday). Most surprising is that they have won all of their road games including handing Long Beach State its only league loss this season. Eran Ganot's teams have always given the Aggies headaches, so a win against them would be a great sign for the rest of the season. I can't explain why Hawaii has done so well since, unlike past seasons, I have yet to see them play, having spent all my college basketball viewing time on ESPN+ watching UC Davis. Their team stats are here: https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/team/stats/_/id/62
that’s a good sign! Hawaii has always been tough on us. I vividly remember the last time they were here March 2020 (a week before, well, you know) : they hit a long contested three to win 67-65, since after we scored late to take the lead. I was sitting on the sideline about a foot from where he released the ball, and my seat mate mumbled sh*t as it was arching to the basket. That one hurt
The Honolulu paper gave a lot of credit to Callum McRae for the Highlanders win. The big guy had 19 points and 3 assists, which means that Hawaii did not defend him as well as we did and their front court is bigger than ours. I wasn't impressed with him so either he was having a bad night or the Aggies were doing a very effective job on defense. Matchups being what they are, it's not at all predictive of how UCD will fare against Hawaii. I call this game a toss-up depending on which Aggie teams shows up.
We are certainly going to have to bring our A+ defense in this game. Hawaii is athletic and can shoot from deep. If we push out on defense to stop the long range shots, that's going to open up the driving lanes, and since we don't really have much of a shot blocker down low, we could see a lot of driving shots. Or, if we slough off to cut down on the lanes, definitely going to give up some open 3's. We are going to have to really play good team defense.
We'll definitely need to play very well but I'd give us the edge considering our defense and playing at home. We defended the paint really well against Riverside. We really do need to contest their 3's and make a good percentage of ours though.
I hope you're right. I do think we played better defense at UCR than last weekend, so hopefully the more consistent schedule (both game and practice) is paying off.
By the way, I happened upon the ESPNU game vs SLO from 2015 on youtube. Crazy how loaded that team was. Starters were Hawkins, Graham, Avery Johnson (very underrated player), JT and Ritchart, with Lemar, Monson, Fox and Tyler Les coming off the bench. That team went 25-7 but was upset in the BW semi's by Hawaii (hey, I tied this tangent into this string!) From a pure talent perspective, that might have been our best team top to bottom (Michael Onyebalu, a future starter, was basically the last man on the bench). And the Pavillion was going crazy!
Big game Saturday with road trip to Irvine next week coming up. After that we have a stretch of games we should be favored before the last week of the season.
OldAlum - that was a great team. Lots of offensive weapons, long and quick defenders and a solid JT in the key.
I don’t think he’s quite ready to run the point when Manjon sits. Fullerton really ramped up the pressure on him and they erased that second half lead. He does play hard and smart on defense
I've been encouraged by how Milling played against UCR. He hasn't been the deep threat we expected so far, but perhaps we expected too much. If he is feeling more comfortable now, he might be the X-factor against Hawaii.
I like seeing Milling starting now and bringing in Adebayo as first off the bench. Milling is looking much more comfortable as he gets more minutes and he's starting to find his stroke. He gives us another deep threat and that opens up the lanes a bit more. He also doing a nice job on the boards. I feel like the pieces of this team are starting to fit together much better.
We need to get Anigwe back in the offense. He’s scored 11 points total in the last 3 games. He was a very reliable inside scorer there, but is a little bit out of the flow right now. Past few games he’s been rushing his shot and missing some easy shots - could be the size mismatch he gets. A few early buckets by him opens things up
I wonder if he’s dealing with lower back pain that’s reducing his offensive productivity. The last couple of games he’s had that brace on that looks like some sort of electrical stimulation.
that’s a good point. I believe the two of low output games coincide with the back issue. Last game he was 1-5 from the field, 3-9 vs Fullerton. Those games he seemed to rush his shots, lose his soft touch
I think he's got a back problem for sure. I noticed how he was sitting back and very straight up when he was out of the game. I've been there and done that before too when I had some back problems.
Betting odds are based on what the bookies think the pubic will put money on so that the bookies make a profit. They're right often enough to make a lot of money. So if they thought people will bet on UC Davis to come within 3 points of Hawaii, that's where they put the betting line.
Hawaii came out hitting 4 of 5 from the 3 line. Since then the Aggies have done a very good job of defending the perimeter. Ags could use a few more 3s.
That was a lot more exciting than it needed to be if the Ags could hit their free throws. It has to be a psychological thing. But UCD gets to .500 in the conference and gives Hawaii it's second defeat.
Really good comeback win from 14 down in the second half for the Aggies. We don't match up well with Hawaii's size and length like 6'9 Anigwe guarding 7'0 Colina and 6'4 Pepper guarding 6'10 Hepa. Pepper and Manjon really sparked our comeback and we created some TO's during crunch time. Not sure what's going on with our poor FT shooting. Regardless, this is one of our best wins this year!