That's a good question. I guess if they make it to the BWT championship game and possibly lose on a last second shot, maybe. I'd put money on them heading to the NIT if they lose.
If I'm remembering right, weren't we 80 or so in RPI during the Hawkins season? And we didn't really sniff the bubble.
Plus from what I've read it looks like the B1G and Pac are poised to put most of their teams in the tournament. There won't be a lot of spots that the committee would want to give to mid majors with that kind of crop in contention
i can't remember our RPI that season, but i'm pretty sure we were below 100. the NET seems to be the one that the committee follows these days. according to Jon Wilner in his Pac12 Hotline in the SJ Mercury, he thinks the Pac will get 5-6 teams depending on how tournaments go. Their NET is 77 (RPI is 61), and last season the lowest at-large was 73. So, Irvine is far below that.
"They" say that it's hard to beat the same team 3 times in a season as Hawaii would have to do to beat the Ags on Thursday, Try telling that to Vanderbilt when they lose to Kentucky 3 times (no data, but I imagine it has happened more than once). Ditto for Wake Forest and Duke (yes, I know that the Demon Deacons upset Duke this year, but still...). My protestations notwithstanding, I think that "they" are right when it comes to teams who are evenly matched as UCD and Hawaii are. Last time I looked, their net rankings were right next to each other (215 and 216), so WE SHOULD WIN THIS TIME.
Well for one, we don't know how bad this is going to get. Read the article you posted about the health care system in Italy. We have a finite number of hospitals and beds. What restricting people does is to help lower the number of cases at one time so doctors can adequately help people who get sick.
Not to mention the fact that there isn't widespread testing so we don't know who has it and who doesn't.
This is going to get much worse before it gets better.