Drake upsets Tarleton?

I have no idea what Sagarin’s eigenvector analysis is, and he ain’t sayin, but that method comes up with SEMO favored while his regular analysis has Illinois State favored. So perhaps it will be a competitive game.
I don’t have much confidence the SEMO will win but that is entirely because I watched the first third of their last game, in which they looked horrible. They came back to make a respectable score though.

I like the match-up between NAU and ACU. Interested to see how Texas/OK talent stacks against CA/AZ talent.

Illinois State is starting to roll that run game. They have a decent offensive line and three separate, yet different weapons at RB. The running game is big in the playoffs, the winter months, if you can't consistently grind it for 4-5 yards, it's tough to control the game.

Well, to be fair, NAU does have 11 players from FL/TX/OK, as well as talent from Colorado, IL, PA, OH, a Virginian, a Nigerian and a German. They are definitely stocked with Arizona guys and California guys for the most part however.

ACU is certainly loaded with Texas talent, but they too, recruit from many different states, seeing CA, MN, LA, FL, AL, IA, OH and Germany on their roster as well.

I thought last year they brought in something like 20-25 transfer portal guys.