CAUSEWAY 2019 I mean, Hawkins is kind of right.
Of the 6 FCS losses, they were to the teams ranked 1, 3, 4, 6, 8 and 27. They were blown out by Montana and lost handily to Weber. So they didn't lose to a bad team and they play in a tough conference. A big difference between the last two years is the schedule. Last year, the only ranked teams we played in the regular season were EWU and San Diego. This year we not only had 5 but we had five of the top 8. That's rough. Now, the counterpoint to that is to look at what we did against the non ranked teams. The only team we didn't hammer was Idaho State. This year the wins were closer. But lets say they pull out the North Dakota game and either Montana St. At 7-5 they probably get in. So while I'm not going to argue this wasn't a disappointing year, they weren't far off from having a decent year with another playoff berth.
Offensively, not that we needed reminding how much of a stud he was, but the loss of a guy in Doss who was good enough to make an NFL roster is massive for an FCS team. Last year he had 118 catches and 1334 yards. Our top two receivers this year had 99 catches for 1319 yards combined. That's a guy that can make an offense look a hell of a lot better than it might actually be.
I guess I think last year we overperformed a bit thanks to a stud WR, got a bit lucky with the schedule and ended up having a great year. This year, with a tougher schedule and losing said stud WR, I think expectations might have been a bit too high coming into the year, all things considered. If last year's team played this year's schedule, they probably finish worse than 9-2 in the regular season. If this year's team played last year's schedule, they probably finish better than 5-7 and probably make the playoffs. That's the way things work out sometimes.
I don't follow recruiting at all but hopefully last year's run gave us a bump in that department and we've got some good young players coming in that just need a little time. We'll find out in the next two years whether last year or this year was the fluke season and whether or not Hawkins can build something sustainable here.