FCS Rankings Well to phrase it another way, Massey is predicting Sac to be 5-4 in FCS play slightly favored (by a FG) at home against what it predicts would be an 8-2 team in FCS play.
I personally think it's more likely that Davis wins based on recent form, comparing performance against EWU, etc, but I think the model is more just reflecting that a middling Big Sky team hosting the #2 Big Sky team is still anybody's game, which I kind of agree with