UC Davis Athletics Joining Mountain West - Football to Follow here comes my essay pitch lol
While I understand the points made and agree that FBS moves are not instant wins, if you look at attendance stats for teams that moved to FBS, in the past 5 years attendance numbers are up:
-coastal carolina: 24.22%
-sam houston: 52.39%
-kennesaw: 42.61%
-liberty: 10.54%
-JMU: 8.17%
Delaware, Missouri state and Jacksonville state have not been in the fbs for 5 years but all had successful seasons joining the G5.
Objectively the MW is a better conference than the CUSA, moving up to the FBS to join the MW in my opinion is a good move to make before 2030 barring some huge change in conference membership beyond the departing members currently. I would much rather see a UC Davis vs SJSU or UC Davis vs UNR game than UC Davis vs northern Colorado or UC Davis vs Utah Tech.
I know that the Montana's and NDSU's of the world have a ton of financial support, fan support and talk about them, but simply don't exist in metro areas or have large alumni bases that schools like that of the MW have. NDSU is pretty much openly asking to join the MW but has not received an invite for the reasonings I listed (speculation).
Also, academically and culturally UC Davis fits much better with the size and scope of research, student body and national profile of the mountain west than big sky schools (other than GCU which I think academically is sketchy to say the least but has good athletic support i guess).
I would much rather be in a conference that is adding schools like UTEP than Utah Tech. The Mountain West is adding members with much stronger fan base support and institutional foundations than the Big Sky when it comes to growth.
If we want to grow our support base financially, I agree winning an FCS championship would help, but I also think moving the team to a more nationally prominent level would help exponentally.
Its also much easier to visit the schools in the new MW than many of the Big Sky schools that are in smaller metro areas (and transit option wise/price).
Another thing about the MW is just the enthusiasm overall of fans and facilities that exist, its exponential compared to most of the Big Sky (with the exception of the very top of the conference). Losing Sac in the Big Sky takes away half of our regional rivalries that exist. Other than Cal Poly, joining the MW would add Reno and SJSU as natural rivalries (and rekindle the Nevada rivalry).
I see the vision for joining Olympic sports in the MW, its a no brainer, but football seems like a logical move for our future, no matter what happens with the FBS in the future. The MW no matter what has a stronger hand than the Big Sky no matter what happens with relegation of level.
I hear all the time "in a few years the top of the FCS and G5 will merge most likely", which is probably true, but waiting and taking the risk of not being in that merger OR not having that G5 caliber membership seems riskier than not if we stay in the Big Sky long term for football.
Last thing i'll say, this whole being in 2 conferences for football and other sports confuses the hell out of everyone who is not super deeply involved in Davis athletics, and will only get more confusing now that we are joining a FBS conference for every sport except for the football team.....