WBB 2021 BWT and postseason Yeah, it seems pretty clear we're past any sort of potential "just got lucky with a recruiting class or two" phase. It seems like there's no true rebuilding year, just reloading. Obviously that doesn't mean we're going to rip through the league at 14-2 each year and win the tourney, but we're clearly going to be in the mix every year.
I mean, 2017-18 team went 28-7 and 14-2 in the league. They graduated players ranked #1, 2, 4 and 7 in minutes and #2, 3, 4 and 7 in points. The next year they go 25-7 and 15-1 in the league. I know you might say "oh, well they still had Bertsch, who won the BW POY and was a three-time first teamer, plus the Eaton's". Fair point. So you'd certainly expect a huge dropoff from that year after losing three of your top four players in minutes and three of your top six players in points, right, especially after what they lost the year before? Well they fell all the way to 17-2 but still ripped through the conference at 12-4.
Then this year, they go 9-1 in the conference. Missed out on Bakersfield (home), UCR (road), UCI (home) and Fullerton (road). I know Fullerton stayed close in the tourney but we're winning those games. Even if you say they split the other three series, that's still a 12-4 year. Realistically, they probably sweep at least one of UCR and Bakersfield so we're probably looking at 14-2 or 13-3 again.
So while it might seem a lot to lose our top two players in minutes and #1 and 4 in points (including the PG), neither one of them is close to what Bertsch was and we *only* were three games worse after she graduated. Konrad and Stobbart will be seniors and Turner just went for 22 in the BW title game as a sophomore.
I don't know who's going to step up next year to replace Hall and Trpcic but I feel pretty confident somebody will. Gross has raised expectations but that's a good spot to be in because it means you're doing a great job.