Unfortunately our collapse last home stand has made this last home stand irrelevant (except to possibly get a non losing record). There are 2 games of note this week : CSUN vs UCR, and Hawaii at CSUB.

First game could determine 3rd seed although I’m not positive about tie breakers. Poly has two easy games so should finish 8-12. I think Hawaii beats CSUB at Bakersfield to sneak in at 8-12, with CSUB on the outside at 7-13. UCSB should finish 11-9. I fear we’ll finish 9-11 with a 6 seed to take on whoever has the tiebreaker between Hawaii/Poly.

story of the season- our defense keeps us in games, and we win when we can squeeze out some offense. It seems like everyone is so much longer than us - takes away penetration and makes us rely on contested parameter shot. In the first half that I watched, their zone didn’t give us many good looks - I’m assuming the same was true in the second half? 1-13 from Leo and Sevilla isn’t a winning combo, nor is continuing to get beat in the boards

Down 35-29 at half. Offense is stagnant (Hawaii zone is effective). Rocek has 3 fouls which may play a big role in the second half.

I’ve been out at little league games all day so I can’t make it through the rest of the game. Hoping we can figure out a way to pull it out

2.5 point underdogs which is closer than I can remember a game at Hawaii.

Speaking of spreads: SsnDiego +26.5 over Fullerton. I’d take the Tritons to cover easily. They are trying to pad their NCAA resume

if we tie UCSB, we’d get the head to head tiebreaker. We are almost certainly 6 or 7, shouldn’t matter which.

Saturday’s game will say a lot about who’s in and the final 4 seeds. Bakersfield vs Poly, and our game. A Poly loss puts them with 13 losses; even with games vs the bottom 2, they’d be hanging by a thread, and Bako would be in. A Poly win….they’d probably finish at 12 losses with Bako (home vs Hawaii). A win by us put Hawaii on the brink especially with road games vs Bako and CSUN to follow. A win by them keeps them alive but that road trip will be tough. I think we’re in the 6/7 regardless of the outcomes - either Bako or Hawaii will have at least 12 losses.

My guess is we stay at 6 even with 11 losses, where an opening round win would give us a shot vs UCR. If Bako wins out, they’d be 6 since they beat us twice. Hawaii wins out? Not sure who wins that one.

how was the crowd? Looks pretty full from the highlight clip I saw. UCSB is getting hot. Poly has 12 losses so we’re in. Bako and LBSU going to OT. Poly is still in the running for 8.

Article also says : ‘ UC Davis (15-13, 9-8 Big West) needs just one more win to punch a ticket to the Big West Championship.’

Again, I don’t think that’s true, but I’ve been wrong before. Either Bako or Poly will have at least 12 losses, so we’re in.

my guess is money!

I’ve also read that some schools didn’t like the closeness of the Honda center to some schools (not a neutral site) and that the Honda Center was too big for thd Big West - lots of empty space (18k arena vs about 6k)

Just following up on my post, Bako and Poly still play each other, so someone will be eliminated with a loss in that game.

I’m obsessing a bit on this because I’m going to the tournament for the first time and don’t want to be without a team!

Big West site shows only 5 teams in. I guess it’s still possible there could be 4 teams at 9 wins? I would think tiebreakers get goofy at that point.

SLC is definitely an easier trip. It’s just that they will be the outlier in a SOCal league which may cause issues with the Thursday/Saturday games. Much easier to deal with UCSB/Poly weekend than CBU/UVU.

I think our crappy schedule (42 days between Saturday home games, 3 weeks between home games of any kind) shows how much input/respect an outlier school (not located in Hawaii) gets at the BWC meetings.

I can see Cal Baptist to make it a 10-team all SOCal conference, but Utah Valley? That will create the same schedule issues we have now with Hawaii.

just think how good they’d be if Bryce Pope stuck around instead of languishing on the bench at USC

I don’t know that there was a choice - I’ve never heard the the PAC showed any interest in Davis. If there was a choice, i think the MWC would be offering us a more equitable slice of the money based on what I’ve read from schools that turned down the PAC

this is kinda the same spot as last year, except Niko was a surprise return.

the question with Borra is will he be able to stick around like Niko did (he is in the business management after graduating last year).

I think they felt Roberson was going to be a real contributor. I was talking to one of the dads about the team and how the Borra and Roberson injuries really hurt. He said his son referred to Roberson as ‘a game changer.’

You never know, but had he been a 25-minute a game solid scorer AND we had Borra to give us a solid 15 minutes (he got buffed!), this would have been a more rounded team. Can’t recruit into two late injuries.

I think we’re clinched also since we swept Poly, but maybe multi-team ties mess things up? We did lose twice to Bako who’s behind us.

I was being recruited by UOP and invited by them to the game. My coach contact wasn’t in the mood to talk to me after the game!