I promise that's not me who wrote that post (saying that because I'm firmly in the "at 8-3 we're for sure in camp").
As for the bracket, what he wrote is he expected Sac St to win out. If that does happen, I doubt we get a home game which means we're at the mercy of whoever selects the bracket as to where we'd have to travel.
I tend to agree that we get a home game either opening weekend (if we lose) or 2nd weekend after a bye (win). If MSU’s QB is hurt, Griz may upset and screw up some things,
I sure hope we get a home game, We had a good turnout for the UNI game and the fans were into it. If we beat Sac, I think we'll host a second round game which would be great but I'd be happy for a first round home game if we lose to Sac also.
I have no idea how they settle at Sac St with a 5 seed but EWU at around the 12 seed.
The losses are probably pretty similar overall. Cal (Sac) is better than Mont St (EWU) but EWU's Weber loss by 1 is better than Sac losing by 18 to Northern Iowa.
Assuming Sac beats us, both would have beaten UCD on the road and Montana (Sac in Montana, EWU at home) but EWU also has the UNLV win. EWU beat Southern Utah by 8 more despite being on the road (Sac was at home) and won at Northern Colorado by 46 (Sac won by 3).