I went through the NET ratings and picked out the other auto bids. If they just seeded by NET rating 1-64, we're ahead of 18 teams, which would put us as a 12 seed, which is where ESPN has us also. Even if you want to quibble with a couple of the teams close to us, we shouldn't be any worse than a 13 seed. The bottom 12 teams are all 100 or more (so 30 spots worse than us).
The reason we tend to get screwed over is travel, which isn't an issue this year. The last couple times the BW champ didn't play a Pac-12 school were 2018 (CSUN was a 16, sent to Indiana, other options were Kent, Miss, Conn; Stanford was a 4, UCLA a 3 and Oregon a 2 and played Seattle that year) and 2014 (CSUN played South Carolina but game was in Seattle).
So I wouldn't worry about us getting dropped a couple seeds just to not have to travel, which happened in 2019.
Much better draw than typically going to Stanford for sure! This will be a very tough test for the Aggies though. Missouri State is 21-2 overall and 16-0 in the Missouri Valley Conference. Last year they went 26-4 & 16-2. They take their basketball seriously in the midwest.
I just saw that their conference championship was cancelled but didn't know why. Interesting. They have a lot of wins against other mid-majors, plus a big win vs. Maryland (a 2 seed). Anything but Stanford is a "win" for us. Yeah Eastbay, they nailed it.
Would have been interesting to see the seed we would have gotten in a normal year. Stanford is a 1 so we can’t be dropped that far. UCLA and Arizona are both 3’s so they could have dropped us two spots. Happened two years ago. Oregon is a 6 so depending on how close we were to the 11 seeds in the eyes of the committee, maybe they jump us to an 11. Or they could have bumped us to an 11 in the same region as UCLA/Arizona since those locations would host.
Regardless, definitely happy with a 12. Missouri State is tough and we’re probably not winning but it still beats playing a 1 or a 2 seed where you literally have no chance unless the other team has two key players tear ACL’s right before the tourney, which is what happened to Stanford when they lost as a 1. That’s still the only 1, 2 or 3 seed to lose in the first round of the women’s tourney.
Well you ended up being dead on, thanks for crunching the numbers!
BWC twitter says this is the best WBB seed since 2004. I'm also vengefully happy that we placed higher than the MWC champion (Wyoming) -- I've had a gut feeling for a while that the MWC is undersupporting WBB, though that's heavily biased due to how poor SDSU's WBB team does compared to its other spectator sports.
Davis had another reason to cheer on Monday. When Stanford was announced as the top seed in the so-called Alamo Region at the multi-site “bubble” tournament in San Antonio, Texas, the Aggie women collectively held their breath, waiting for the Cardinal opponent to be announced.
In Davis’ two other D-I trips to the NCAAs, they’ve driven to Palo Alto and fallen to Stanford. When Utah Valley was unveiled as the Cardinal foe, broad smiles and a smattering of applause came from the assembled Blue-and-Gold.
“It’s not that we didn’t want to play them,” Big West Player of the Year and tourney MVP Cierra Hall told The Enterprise. “It was that we just wanted to play somebody else. That’s why we were happy.”
It was a tough way to lose. As their coach said, the margin of error is so thin in these games. Az with the big upset In game 2. I had some wildcat friends at the game. It must have been so much fun!