I don't think we should be ranked in the Top 10 until we at least beat a Top 10 opponent. We might move up a spot this week.

Oh I agree. I wasn't making a case for us to move up, more so stating that there really wasn't even the opportunity given the results of the week. We beat Weber this week and I think we make the jump into the top 10.

My thoughts exactly too.

Aggies (to my surprise) move from 10 to 7 in the college sports madness poll

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/fcs-football/top-25-rankings

Montana State looks very tough. I would definitely have them above Eastern Washington. The brawl of the wild should be a fun game.

This poll has UC Davis at #7

https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/fcs-football/top-25-rankings

Ags drop from 4 to 7 in the Massey Ratings, but odds of beating Weber are now even at 50%. Seems about right for being 3-0 against teams that are cumulatively 0-9.

Aggies move into the top 10 in the Athlon poll. They punished Weber fairly significantly for their loss to JMU.

https://athlonsports.com/college-football/fcs-rankings-top-25-power-poll-following-week-3-2021

Versus has the Aggies at 8 and Weber all the way down at 25

https://www.versussportssimulator.com/FCS/rankings

Sam Herder at Hero Sports FCS moves the Aggies up from 11 to 10

https://herosports.com/fcs-top-25-sam-herder-ballot-2021-3-bzbz/

Aggies crack the top 10 in the coaches poll!

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/football/fcs/fcs-coaches-poll

I ran the Versus Simulator and it is currently predicting that the Aggies have a 52% chance of winning at Weber by a score of 29-28.

We are also averaging 44 points per game to Weber's 27.3 and we are allowing 17 points per game to Weber's 26.7. Another interesting stat from their site is that the average rank of our opponents is only 306 compared to Weber's 184.3 (this stat includes all FBS and FCS teams).

Other stats that include all FBS and FCS teams are:

Overall ranking: Ags 93 Weber 154
Power: Ags 106 Weber 115
Offense: Ags 89 Weber 138
Defense: Ags 134 Weber 94

https://www.versussportssimulator.com/CFB/simulations

Almost identical to what the Massey algorithm is spitting out. As MTB stated they have it as a true coin toss 50/50 right now. This has the makings of FCS game of the week. I want to believe this is finally the season where we can knock off some of these higher ranked teams.

Do these predictions take into account home vs visitor status?

I don't know about the versus model, but Massey does.

Yes, the Versus model does consider the home vs visitor factor.

How can the average rank of our opponents be 306? We haven’t played Simon Frazier.

Aggies move up to 12 in the STATS poll

https://www.ncaa.com/rankings/football/fcs/stats-perform-fcs-top-25

Aggies at 8 in the AGS fan poll

https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showthread.php?280634-AGS-Poll-Results-Week-3-2021

I generally like looking at Massey's aggregate polls since there will eventually be about twenty to thirty polls listed here by midweek:

https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare1aa.htm

Just keep winning................

Does anyone have a sense of which poll is the most legitimate? Wikipedia credits two, non-computer based polls as having the weight of determining playoff seedings. One is a media poll and one is a coaches poll and both are on the NCAA website. Still, I wonder if any of the other ones are more valid based on your experience in checking them over the years.

AGS fan poll has typically done pretty well.

Interesting. Ags drop 2 spots in the Massey ratings after beating Weber St.

I think our strength of schedule hurts us. Even though we’ve played two teams that are objectively impressive wins in Tulsa and Weber on the road, they’re both just 1-3.
Not to mention Dixie whose played a crazy schedule and San Diego whose having a bad year. No way is our schedule the 199th in the country though, it was tougher than that.

Right, Weber isn't quite as good as in the past, so it doesn't statistically look great to barely beat them. But I was celebrating!

Me too. This season would have been a huge disappointment to me regardless of the rest of the games if we lost to both Weber and eastern again.

Weber, San Diego, Tulsa will improve their records. Tulsa is projected to win five more games. Weber is projected to win five or six more games, San Diego projected to win six more games. The aggregate records of our opponents look bad now but will be more respectable by end of season.Weber is projected to lose to only Eastern and is an even pick against Montana State. I can imagine them beating either.