If we lose another game we’re likely out of it. If we finish tied for third or better in the big sky we’re in for sure and seeded. Best hope win out and Sac loses another game. Unlikely but there is a chance, mostly in our control if Weber can beat Sac.

If we win out we beat Idaho and Sac. (by definition)
If Sac loses an additional game besides to us then Davis, Sac, Idaho will all have 2 losses. Two teams have the potential of better records, Montana State undefeated and Weber with only 1 loss.
So we could be tied for third.
Montana already has 3 losses. They are only in the picture if we lose again.

The best loss would be Sac State because if we win out we’d be at worst tied for third with Sac and Idaho who we would have defeated.

Yeah, I had to go back and watch the kickoff returns. Frazier made an outstanding tackle on the kickoff towards the end of the second quarter. He also had another tackle on a kickoff, when Kraut was in wearing #0.
Frazier is an outstanding player.

The box score doesn’t list the starters for Davis. In the game one of the #13 had to change his number to 0 as both were on a kick coverage team. They have Logan Kraut with two solo tackles on kickoff returns and DeVon Frazier not listed.

Montana’s announcers are doing a road game, That’s not the usual pattern on the ESPN+ games. They’re homers on an away game.

Sagarin ratings are pure points, no stats. UCD rated highly due to game scores and our opponents scores against their opponents, But the stats support the ranking. They’ve played good teams close and lost and they’ve played bad teams and run up big margins. What we haven’t seen yet is beating a good team.

TT played at at Northern Colorado. We’ve not seen Jaylin White or Noa Masui since Cal game, they’re both in the depth chart, as is Tattersall who was said here to be out for the season,

Some observations about players injured, absence due to injury, or return from the NC game.

Guys who might have been injured against N. Colorado:
Peter Povey. What did Povey’s injury appear to be? He left the field during an injury break on the broadcast, but perhaps the radio broadcast mentioned how he got off the field?
Chaz Davis might have injured his arm, he left after getting hit making a catch and didn’t see any more action.

Guys who might have missed the game with a recent injury:
Chubba didn’t start had no stats but was listed as appearing
Mouisset didn’t play, Hawkins said Calvin was out if I heard him right

Guys returning from injury:
Ambagtsheer played for the first time this year
Buchanan is back.

There are.a other guys we have lost along the way.

My guess is that Davis is going to take advantage of the young Cal Poly defensive backs. Davis, surprisingly, is now leading the big sky in yards passing per game, and is second in efficiency. Cal Poly is next to last in passing yards allowed per game. They do have five interceptions so have to be carefully. The Cal Poly commentator on the broadcast stressed how many freshmen they’re playing 60 plays a game. I think Davis will exploit their inexperience.
Run game should work too, but they’re middle of the road in run defense.

43 places but only 10 FCS teams and just a nine point spread,

We haven’t beat anyone who’s having a good season, our best win is against Northern Arizona and they’re 3-5 and even San Diego is just 3-3.
Sagarin has us as the #11 FCS team but that’s just on comparative scores, not who you’ve beat, which affects the non algorithmic polls.

What were they doing with the QBs against Eastern? I watched a bit of it but why wasn’t their starter in for more than one completion?

Northern Arizona and Northern Colorado both ran the ball better against Davis than they averaged in other Big Sky games, so that’s concerning.
Northern Colorado had been gaining 2.9 yards per rush against UCD they gained 5.3.
But rather than dominating the totals, Davis dominated in turnovers, scoring every time in the red zone, and big plays.

I don’t think so, not on the participation list.

I’m watching it now. Just look at big sky > on demand

Davis is rated as the 14th best FCS by Sagarin’s method based on scores and schedule, which ignores wins and losses. We’re sixth best in the Big Sky, just behind Idaho.
1) Sac State
2) Weber State
3) South Dakota State
5) Montana
8) Montana State
11) Idaho
14) UC Davis

Their QB is pretty good, but short. I think their problems are more on defense. Their win was against a team of a level that’s comparable to our wins

Crazy schedule, Oregon, Florida, Montana State, Weber, and Sac.
Makes our schedule look easy.

Northern Colorado was within 3 of Idaho after the middle of the third quarter.
Idaho State and Lamar are their two wins, and the only W for either of those teams is Idaho State beat Cal Poly.
Elija Dotson, a transfer from Sac State was Big Sky Special Teams player of the week after the Idaho State game in which he had over 200 yards of total offense.