• Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    Agree, if I was a betting man (and I am) I would say they announce this morning it’s moving to make sure the game can happen logistically.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    If you look at the forecast it’s currently very unhealthy, BUT forecast for today is to be “unhealthy” and then “moderate”
    Tomorrow. If it does hit tomorrow’s forecast that’s absolutely playable. But how much can you trust that to happen? If you let it ride you put the game in jeopardy of being cancelled if it doesn’t improve. If you are to move the game that call has to be made today (fairly early I imagine). Tough calls ahead.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    The good thing here is Sac had their game cancelled last week. If this week was to cancel what a terrible way for seniors to end their careers. I’m sure they are all in on making this happen which helps. Lets go. Find a site and do it.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    Great find on the article. Glad to see they are looking elsewhere. Little to no chance this can be played at Davis barring some unexpected changes.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    My son's school just got cancelled tomorrow (I'm in the East Bay in Orinda) and it's been on all week. Lafayette school district just issued a note saying all schools closed there. Today is the worst day air wise since fires started. Can something change by tomorrow? Maybe but doubtful? Starting to think this game is a no go sadly.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    Also, the team has been practicing every day this week, in the AM.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    An email went out from the Athetics group to the former players/alums saying the game is on as of now and they are planning to play it BUT if there is a change we would know more tomorrow. I think, like everyone else, they are hoping to play it. This means they want to play it here and no where else. If they were considering an alternative we would have heard about it and it would have been moved. Not going to send an email out late Friday saying they are heading to Reno.

    I still stand by my statement that Idaho St beats Weber which would help UCD dramatically toward a seed esp if game is cancelled. That is the outcome we need most to get a seed. Since most people believe Weber will win i think that it what makes things a little more cloudy.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    I’m more worried as of this AM.

    IF THE AGS don’t play this could absolutely cost them a seed. 100%. This game is not moving. It’s either happening in Davis Or it is not.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    Well that certainly makes things a little more interesting. Hasn’t played in weeks BUT definitely the best option by far they can throw at UCD. No bogeys, need to be ready to play from the get go...
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    Interesting, thanks! Sorta what I figured but good to hear the actual details.

    What happened to Wyatt Clapper? He get hurt hurt too? He started the last few games and weird for him to not be on the 3 deep yet still list Thomson. Perhaps some gamesmanship?
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    Blue just prepping people for the idea that "hey we might have a home game on thanksgiving weekend ( a weekend many people travel) so keep that in the back of your mind b/c they would love a full stadium."

    I've seen 7 seed, 8 seed, and no seed from the hero guys. They are all projecting based on if season ended today. I still stand by statement that the Aggies will get seeded. I think Idaho St will beat Weber and that will drop them out and problem solved. Even if they don't, still think the resume is strong enough to warrant a seed.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    Of course we prob wont know if he's playing until the first snap on Saturday. Unreal finding injury info on anything Sac St related.

    I'll be surprised if we dont see a flat start from the Ags on Sat for a few series - mainly last week's results and I imagine this week has been a bit of a different routine (indoor practice) which only helps distract from the focus needed in the film room/on the field. First possession will be one to watch - against a bad team, this offense, at home, should run down the field for 7.

    As was already mentioned the Hornets have been AWFUL against the run - have to pound the ball against them but JM should have better success throwing it as well mostly because he should have more time. Sac St offense could be an issue if Thomson can go (i am guessing no). You also have to wonder what sort of state Sac St enter the game? It's been an awful season, well under expectations, losing their QB. Their D has been a sieve.

    All this said.....Be ready for anything, its a rivalry.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    FWIW, my buddy who is a fireman and lives in Davis says he feels good about game being played. He's not worried based on what he sees/knows. I'm not too worried about it, think the game will be played.
  • Week 12: CAUSEWAY
    A couple game related notes:

    -UCD opens up -24 Point fav over Sac St
    Other BIG SKY games of note w playoff implications:
    -Weber -6 vs Idaho
    -Montana -7 vs MSU
    -EWU -20.5 @ PSU

    That’s a fair line on UCD. A couple things to consider:
    -We don’t know Sac st QB STATUS (prob out but see below)
    -Rivalry game, throw everything out the window
    - Sac St off a bye (with game cancelled they didn’t play, should be healthier. BUT not a normal bye as they didn’t spend week prepping for UCD as they expected to play NAU)
    -Off the big loss, do the Ags come out a little flat? (May take them a quarter or two to get going - see it all the time after a team takes a big loss in an important game esp when playing a team considered inferior)

    I can’t find a lick of info on Thomson and whether he’ll be back this week. I tweeted a beat writer for their student newspaper and he had no clue either. Guessing since he’s been out all year not likely to play this week but we don’t know if he was going to play last week given the cancelation. Finding injury info is not easy.
  • FCS Bracketology
    Great question and I have no clue how they will handle it. My guess - they are in as a 7/8 seed. Their schedule is REAL light but man its crazy how dominant they've been. 5 shutouts. 12 points allowed in last 8 games is crazy no matter the competition. Insane.

    They had two good measuring stick games: UNH and Furman. UNH was awful to start the year (Knight got hurt and they were a mess so not the team we expected) and Furman got cancelled due to weather. The Furman game would have been huge to see where these guys stack.

    My guess though (unless they lose by 40+ vs Army - they wont) is they sneak in as a low seed. But I could easily argue the other side just trying to speculate what I think the committee will do...
  • FCS Bracketology
    Let me try to simplify - here are the team UCD should root for this weekend (in order of importance, IMO). Note - im only mentioning games where i think loss is a potential. For example, South Dakota not beating SDSU. Portland St not beating EWU (but i think they keep it closer than expected - they will be about 24 points underdogs)
    1. Idaho St (this win would be the single biggest thing for the Ags and almost guarantee a seed. A second FCS loss for Weber would drop them below UCD and almost assure the Ags a spot. ISU would stack another quality win and potential playoff spot.
    2. Elon (Maine has a strong resume even with more FCS losses. If Elon could beat them would help move someone fighting head to head with Ags for seed. Elon will be a 7-10 point underdog.). Elon would have a seeding case but the best option is for Maine to take an L.
    3. Kennesaw St - If Jax St get this huge win they would have an argument to be moved into the seeding conversation. Kenny wins keeps it clean they get a top 4 seed.
    4. Montana - strengthens UCD resume, likely puts another team that the Ags beat into playoffs.
    5. Villanova - beating Delaware would take them out of seeding conversation. Outside looking in but less teams to compete with for seeds.

    Note: Towson JMU is a huge game in the CAA. The winner will be 8-3 with a strong resume and 2 FCS losses. Winner would have a case for a seed and prob gets one. Towson has the stronger resume now with two close losses vs GOOD teams. JMU UNH loss is a bad one. (even though UNH better now and heahlty)
  • FCS Bracketology
    Ha! Thanks! Its nuts right? And i think both of those teams will win this weekend putting this scenario into play.

    FWIW, the hero sports group all dropped UCD out of a seed. They had them as the next two below the top 8 seeds. Some of the main reasoning is they cant see the committee putting 3 teams from one conference in. For me, it comes down to resumes - and UCD has a better resume than a couple of the teams above it. I would hope the conversation doesn't boil down to something as dumb as 3 teams from one conference and is focused on resumes. If so, Ags are a seed. You go 9-2 (tie for conference champ) with wins over Montana, Idaho St, USD (playoff team), and an FBS you 100% deserve a seed/bye. Now I might be saying something different if there we a number of other teams with either 2 losses or only 1 FCS loss but this year is different and their isnt. The FCS has been wild this year (plus Big sky plays an unbalanced schedule) and has created this unique position. I hope the committee rewards appropriately
  • FCS Bracketology
    Yup, I'm now on team "UCD will get a seed" based on the landscape of FCS which means first game would be at home on the weekend of 12/1. Sadly, I'm in NYC so will miss but happy to be heading up for the Causeway this weekend.

    If I get a second later will type up the tiebreaker in the So-Con - its pretty wild.
  • FCS Bracketology
    I think ISU will give Weber all it can handle. And while I don’t think the Vikings can win it, that’s a tricky little Friday night game for EWU vs. PSU team playing much better right now.

    After some time to dig in a little I feel much better about a UCD seed. Looking at all the teams in play, no other teams that can really play themselves into a seed (or have a resume that would pass UCD).

    Jax St/Kenny is a seed play in game. Kenny resume would be weak if they lose and should drop below UCD. I expect them to beat Jax however and get the 2 or 3 seed.

    All other teams in play have losses (at least 2 FCS losses). Only teams can hurt themselves, Kenny/Weber specifically. Some good wins out the end to be had but all by teams w 2 FCs Losses
    Who should be below UCD.

    Also, an ISU or Montana win help the Ags resume. Montana vs MSU is a play in game imo.

    UCD greatly helped this year by the CAA MVFC and Southland all bearing each other up. CAA likely to get 5 maybe 6 but all w 3 or more losses. Southland is cray.
  • FCS Bracketology
    That would be a tremendous draw. I don’t want the 8 seed. JMU vs NDSU that quickly. Hmmm. Would be surprised if the committee did that - if they beat Towson expect the committee to be nice to JMU (vs what they would do w/ other teams in same situation). I’ll be shocked if they set that up to be a 8v1 between those two. Idaho st can help the Ags out a lot by beating Weber.