Blue/Gold World Series That's too bad about Steindorf. He looked like he had potential. Unfortunately, as poor a season as 2016 was it looks like he only got into mop- up situations, didn't get to protect any leads. So he was likely not the player I saw in the stands.
I don't really have the connections you have (to hear about player injuries and such), so I base more of my ideas off statistics and history. And uncertainty about the schedule, the pitching, and the catching keep me from projecting more wins than 2017. As far as Trautner is concerned I'm basing my expectations more on what recent JC starting pitcher transfers (Hamby, Parucha, Burke, etc..) have done. They've all been good competitors but more of their contributions were in relief.
I have to take the fall ball world series results with a grain of salt too because the team is only playing itself (with some participants who may not be on the roster come Feb.), and all their opponents will be better than the level of play you see in November. You can count on that since, to my knowledge, UCD doesn't play any non- Division I schools (except for Grand Canyon last year and Seattle several years ago- transition teams)
Catching I wonder about. Will Denholm be at full health by Feb., and if so will he be better defensively than 2 seasons ago ? The Aggies were terrible at holding runners on (So many errors on pitchouts and pickoff throws !) and throwing out basestealers in 2016. And if he isn't, is O'Boy or someone else up to the task ? You like to think the best of the current crew, but it's difficult to do until the season starts. Catching is such an integral part of the pitching success.
I think you're right about the ERA's. I can only remember three seasons (2006, 2009, and 2013) with Vaughn as pitching coach where the team ERA wound up being really ugly. There were extenuating circumstances in two of those seasons, like all of the injuries in 2006. Even the 2016 team's wasn't that bad.
I think it's also a question of defense and timely hitting. In 2016 and 2017 you could count on Garcia to give you quality starts, but his career record was what, 5- 12 ? How many games did he receive a loss or no decision when he turned in quality ? At this level if you have a starter give you a 3.50- 4.30 ERA you would expect he would be near or better than a .500 record
I've noticed the Aggies tend to have smaller recruiting classes than other schools, even ones that don't rely heavily on transfers or have many players drafted. Do you think this is due more to budgetary reasons or less attrition (fewer players leaving the program for a reason other than graduation)?