2024 Week 12: #2 Montana State (10-0) @ #4 UC Davis (9-1)
I think this is a fair assessment. It'll have to be a some tremendous defensive game-planning and execution, a turnover margin win, and some luck for Davis to get the win in my opinion. The depth from MSU is simply a massive advantage.
Another key is the great players who play better will turn the tide, if Lan is bottled up, Hastings has to play out of his mind. If Tommy TD or the stable is running wild, then the Bobcats win, simple. I think Montana State has Achilles in this example - Davis working with a few Hectors, but we'll see. Davis does have the home field - the confines will be familiar - but in no way does a Davis crowd steer this game one way or another...unless, the Aggies are ready to yell, I'd be pleasantly surprised!