I was anticipating a screen like the one to Tompkins at NAU. Over the middle has been a bit problematic with Hastings (deflections/interceptions. If the Ags had a decent deep passing game I would go over the top. Bengals have been focused on stopping the run.
In theory, I think the best way to win in pound the rock with long drives, wear them down, and keep them off the field. But if you get 2 scores down, that may be off the table.