I really don't know how UCD will respond to this season. In their D-I history UCD has never followed a good season with a better or equal season, a real lack of consistency. Of course we are in the Nicholson era now, so maybe that trend will change-we don't have enough data to say given that the 2022 was likely a crapshoot before it even started.
They have some very good core players (Wolbert, Wright, Green, Wooldridge, Helfrick, Kang, Lee, Leahey, Romero) who were freshmen or sophomores this year to go with what is likely to be a big group of seniors in 2024, so there should be a lot of experience.
They are losing a few key players this year, and some of the core returning players will be MLB draft-eligible next year (mainly thinking Wolbert and Green), so the incoming recruiting class for 2024 will be extremely important.
I don't know that progress will be linear. It's possible they could finish with about the same number of wins and still have shown improvement
I mentioned before that UCD has hurdles to baseball recruitment (location and lack of a winning tradition to name two things). Another is they don't cast a very wide net with recruiting. They only have two players from outside CA (and one of them-Kaden Hogan-was already playing collegiately in CA). This trend seems to indicate UCD doesn't have a sizable baseball recruiting budget either
I tried to think of another university in a similar baseball bind, and it turns out it was in Stockton. UOP , which has lights by the way, cannot sustain any success it has due to some recruiting hurdles of its own.
1. Given a choice between comparable educational and athletic opportunities, why choose the one in Stockton ? Safety does matter.
2. Student athletes there (unless they have rich parents) are faced with a massive pile of student loan debt after graduating. Even with a full athletic scholarship "U Owe Plenty".
3. And like Davis, they don't let just anyone in who can get decent grades in HS and write a check . They have high academic standards too.