Northern Iowa seems to be the second scariest 1st round team. I think James Madison is the scariest.
Northern Iowa also seems to play very well or very badly, and I can't interpret why. As you've mentioned, they play worse on the road.

Massey says UCD's chances of winning

2nd round game: 67.26%
Quarterfinals: 20.03%
Semis: 11.76%
Championship: 2.25%

https://www.masseyratings.com/tourn?t=1026

North Dakota State has a 64.97% chance of winning the championship.

So when will tickets be on sale?

Northern Iowa vs. Lamar. What should UC Davis know about them?

How about the #3 vs. #6 matchup at Cheney? I don't like that.

Hmmmm... Not happy with the #3 vs. #6 matchup if we get that far.

This is for thoroughness that @CK2 had mentioned earlier:

#7 in Stats FCS:
https://twitter.com/FCS_STATS/status/1064021465417297920

Just outside of a seed here:
https://www.college-sports-journal.com/fcs-playoffs-til-i-die-final-2018-playoff-prediction/

One #8 seed and two non-seeds advancing to the next round here:
https://herosports.com/fcs/football-hero-sports-bracket-projections-nov17-2018-ajaj

I didn't see anyone post our three NLI's:

Non-seeds here:
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/ncaa-football-predictions/fcs-playoff-projections/
http://www.bisonville.com/forum/showthread.php?39744-FINAL-Bracketology&p=1310813#post1310813

#8 Here:
http://nobowls.com/

It looks like UCD has won. I'm busy doing something else. Can anyone confirm?

Uhh. ... My livestats say UCD is slightly winning in OT. No one is commenting? Or is everyone paying attention to the Causeway?

Since the UC Davis Health Stadium snuck up on practically all of us, when do you think phase 3 will start? I shall define phase 3 as significantly expanding the number of seats in the stadium.

This might help increase the chance of the game being played on Saturday! :)

https://www.sfgate.com/california-wildfires/article/uc-davis-rocks-camp-fire-wildfires-facebook-13392272.php

Edit: I think it's working! The air quality index just dropped from 151 to 114! :)
Edit2: Holy crap! Auburn is at 824 right now! Is this the side effect of the rock throwing?

... heh.

I'm quite sure they don't factor fire containment in the equation just as much as I'm quite sure Sagarin and Massey don't factor key injuries in their equation.

Edit: The forecast is way off for today anyway since it forecasted air quality of 6 to 21.

There's interesting detailed air quality data for Davis over here:

http://aqicn.org/city/california/yolo/davis-ucd-campus/#s:308

Apparently the range for the past 48 hours is anywhere from 25 to 236. As of this typing, it's at 200.
If I'm reading this correctly, then the forecast is that it will get progressively worse up to Thursday. It doesn't seem to predict more than 2.5 days ahead.

I decided to look at the worst air quality in the world.

The top four I can find are:

Elazig, Turkey: 895
Turpan, China: 714
A water treatment plant at Delhi, India: 685
Schivenoglia, Italy: 622

I guess it can be significantly worse. :/